Rule 1
The Line We Publish
Every result we report is tied to one specific price, the line at the moment we publish it. We get there by leaning on the market, and we'll shop across books ourselves to find it.
A half point can turn a push into a loss, or a win into a push. That's why the exact number matters to us as much as the pick itself.
It's also why you might have to hunt for it. We'd rather you find the right price than settle for whatever's already sitting open in front of you
no favorite team. no bad nights.
Rule 2
The Full Slate
Our win rate is a full-card number, built from every pick we publish, not a favorite few.
We track every result in the open, wins and losses both, including the picks that go against a popular team or somebody's personal favorite. Those still count.
That's also where we've noticed the math tends to hold up best, when someone is following the whole slate rather than just the picks that are easy to like. The full-card number is the one that actually reflects our edge.
Rule 3
Our Sizing
When our model has more conviction on a pick, we size it up, sometimes from 1 unit to 1.5.
That sizing isn't decoration. It's baked into every result we publish.
Flat sizing across the board would tell a different story than the one our record actually tells.
We can't tell you how or what to bet. We can tell you exactly how we get to our numbers: the line we publish, the full slate we track, and the sizing behind every pick. That's our process, built in the open. What you do with it is yours.
